IG Climate Action Portfolio - Global Equity Series F

Portfolio commentary
Q4 2024

Highlights

① The portfolio appreciated during the quarter as equities generated strong performance.

② U.S. equities were the leading contributors to returns.

③ Cheaper equities are attractive in this macro environment.

Portfolio returns: Q4 2024

Total Return 1M 3M YTD 1YR 3YR 5YR 10YR Since Inc. (Oct 25, 2021)

IG Climate Action Portfolio – Global Equity F

-1.93

2.23

21.26

21.26

5.76

   

5.94

Quartile rankings

4

3

3

3

3

   

 

Portfolio overview


Global equities marked a strong finish in Q4 2024, led by strong U.S. equity performance. 50 basis points of interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) over the quarter, resilient U.S. economic growth, continued momentum in the artificial intelligence (AI) thematic trade, and expectations of pro-business policy changes from the incoming U.S. government powered U.S. equities higher. Canadian equities also appreciated, as the Bank of Canada cut rates by 100 basis points over the quarter to stimulate a sluggish economy, but threats of U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by President-elect Donald Trump were a headwind to performance. Global bonds sold off and long-term yields rose as markets dealt with a volatile quarter and priced in fewer interest rate cuts amidst rising expectations of stickier inflation and the global economic impacts of a potential trade war.
 
Developed market equities returned -2.1% (MSCI EAFE Index CAD), U.S. equities returned 9.0% (S&P 500 Index CAD), Canadian equities returned 3.8% (S&P/TSX Composite Index), global bonds returned -1.3% (Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index CAD-Hedged), Canadian bonds returned 0.0% (FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index), and high-yield bonds returned -0.2% (ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Bond Index CAD-Hedged).
 
IG Climate Action Portfolio – Global Equity generated a positive return for the quarter. The Mackenzie Betterworld Global Equity Fund, the Putnam – IG Sustainable Leaders Pool and the Mackenzie Betterworld Canadian Equity Fund were the largest contributors to performance. However, the Mackenzie Betterworld Global Equity Fund underperformed its benchmark with stock selection in the information technology and industrials sectors being the main detractors. The Putnam – IG Sustainable Leaders Pool position also underperformed its benchmark with stock selection in the information technology sector along with an overweight allocation to the materials sector being the primary culprits. The Mackenzie Betterworld Canadian Equity Fund underperformed its benchmark with an underweight position in the energy sector and stock selection in the utilities sector detracting most from performance.

The Mackenzie Greenchip Global Environmental Equity Fund declined over the quarter, led by weakness in stock selection in the information technology and utilities sectors. Additionally, an overweight position in the utilities sector detracted from performance over the quarter.

Market overview: the U.S. dollar and equities dominated the quarter

Investor sentiment turned optimistic in the fourth quarter of 2024, as equities rallied to close the year on a high note. Three defining themes shaped the quarter: a historic U.S. presidential election, ongoing central bank rate cuts and a rise in political risks both domestically and abroad. Collectively, these factors drove market movements, creating an optimistic and rewarding environment for investors following the decisive U.S. election.

Global central banks continued to ease their monetary policies, shifting the focus from combating inflation to supporting economic growth and labour market stability. The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate twice by 50 basis points (half a percentage point) each time, for a total reduction of one percentage point during the quarter, bringing the overnight rate to its lowest level in over two years. Similarly, the U.S. Federal Reserve followed its September cut with two consecutive reductions of one-quarter percentage point each.

Market overview: the U.S. dollar and equities dominated the quarter

Market outlook: positioning to benefit from expected rate cuts and diversify equity risk

The team believes that although global stock markets are expensive, valuations are not extreme. Continued U.S. government deficit spending and the Fed’s eagerness to cut rates on economic weakness supports the team’s view that the largest global economy is unlikely to enter a recession this year. They have favourable views on U.S. small cap stocks and Japanese equities due to their cheaper valuations and exposures to positive economic catalysts.

Duration exposure remains beneficial. While markets expect the Fed to only cut rates once or twice in 2025, the team believes they will need to cut at least three times to support the job market. Potential U.S. trade tariffs could cause a one-time effect on prices, but future inflation could be lower given that trade wars can depress economic growth. The economic situation in Canada remains more dire, and the team prefers Canadian government bonds over Canadian equities.  

To discuss your investment strategy, speak to your IG Advisor.