IG Core Portfolio – Growth Series F

Portfolio commentary
Q1 2025

Highlights

① The portfolio advanced slightly, mainly due to gains in European equities, as more aggressive fiscal policies boosted European growth prospects, despite tariff uncertainties.

② European equities delivered the strongest returns and contributed the most to results.

③ U.S. equities were weakest, especially small and mid-capitalization equities.

Portfolio returns: Q1 2025

Total Return 1M 3M YTD 1YR 3YR 5YR 10YR Since Inc.
July 12, 2013

IG Core Portfolio – Growth F

-3.33

0.10

0.10

11.96

10.92

14.55

8.38

9.83

Quartile rankings

2

2

2

2

2

1

2

 

Portfolio overview

The IG Core Portfolio – Growth rose (0.1%) over the first quarter of 2025, mainly due to strong performance from European equities. It outperformed the Global Equity peer group median, which declined (-0.9%).

Equity markets were mixed over the period. The S&P 500 Index (total return $CAD -4.6%) and Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite Index (total return 2.0%) touched record highs, only to then plunge in response to the U.S. tariff drama, which has pushed economic policy uncertainty to its highest level in several years and, in the eyes of many forecasters, significantly increased the risk of a recession in the U.S. and Canada. The MSCI EAFE Index Total Return (Net) $ CAD rose more than 7%, with European equities significantly outperforming North American markets.

European equity components (the IG Mackenzie European Equity Fund and the IG Mackenzie European Mid-Cap Equity Fund) and the BlackRock – IG International Equity Pool, which has substantial exposure to Europe, were the portfolio’s top performers. Of these three, the IG Mackenzie European Equity Fund had the largest weight in the portfolio and therefore was the top contributor. The BlackRock – IG International Equity Pool was the portfolio’s best performer. It outperformed the MSCI EAFE Index mainly due to stock selection in the U.K. and Japan, especially in the financials and health care sectors. European economic data generally exceeded expectations during the period, while the European Central Bank, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank have all been cutting interest rates. Recent political changes, especially the German election, have led to more aggressive fiscal policies that support economic growth. Most other (non-U.S.) equity components, as well as the BlackRock – IG Active Allocation Pool, made modest gains.

Most U.S. equity components (the T. Rowe Price – IG U.S. Equity Pool, the Mackenzie IG U.S. Equity Pool, the Mackenzie U.S. Mid Cap Opportunities Fund and the Aristotle – IG U.S. Small Cap Equity Pool), which together comprise half of the portfolio, declined and detracted from performance. The one exception in this group was the Mackenzie – IG Low Volatility U.S. Equity Pool, which posted a small gain. The T. Rowe Price – IG U.S. Equity Pool was the top detractor. However, it outperformed the S&P 500 Index, mainly due to stock selection in the consumer discretionary sector (especially a lack of exposure to Tesla Inc.). The Aristotle – IG U.S. Small Cap Equity Pool was the portfolio’s weakest performer, as small-capitalization stocks broadly underperformed large-caps. However, it too outperformed its benchmark (Russell 2000 Index Total Return (Net) $ CAD). The Wellington – IG Global Equity Hedge Pool, which has substantial U.S. equity exposure, also fell.

Market overview: increased uncertainty in U.S. markets favoured international equities

Investor sentiment turned cautious in the first quarter of 2025, driven by heightened market uncertainty following significant shifts in U.S. trade policy under President Trump. Abrupt tariff changes targeting major trade partners — notably Canada, Mexico and China — increased volatility and pressured equity market performance, particularly affecting the S&P 500 Index. In contrast, European markets outperformed significantly, reflecting investors' preference for Europe's attractive valuations and perceived stronger growth potential.

Despite trade-related headwinds, global manufacturing activity showed resilience, signalling potential earnings growth ahead, provided trade tensions stabilize. Central banks diverged in response: the Bank of Canada proactively lowered its overnight rate to 2.75% to bolster growth amid trade uncertainties, while the U.S. Federal Reserve maintained its rate at 4.5%, viewing tariff-related inflation impacts as temporary. 

Market overview: increased uncertainty in U.S. markets favoured international equities

Market outlook: volatility creates opportunities

Looking ahead, we remain optimistic despite recent market volatility and lingering uncertainties. While U.S. equities have faced challenges, including a pullback from February highs and sensitivity to tariff concerns, other regions, such as Canada, Europe, and emerging markets, offer compelling opportunities. These regions have shown resilience, supported by stronger fundamentals and more attractive valuations compared to U.S. markets. As long as unemployment remains low, consumption is expected to continue at a steady pace, supporting economic growth.

Uncertainty can be difficult, but history shows that markets and economies recover over time. Ongoing volatility, driven by evolving and unpredictable U.S. trade policies, has created uncertainty in global markets. Diversification across sectors, asset classes and geographies remains critical. Despite short-term turbulence, global opportunities continue to emerge, and maintaining a long-term perspective is key to navigating current conditions and achieving growth.

To discuss your investment strategy, speak to your IG Advisor.