Portfolio returns: Q4 2024
| Total Return | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1YR | 3YR | 5YR | 10YR | Since Inc. (Apr 19, 2022) |
IG Mackenzie U.S. Dollar Fund – Global Equity F |
-1.54
|
1.31
|
20.69
|
20.69
|
9.81
|
|||
Quartile rankings |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
IG Mackenzie U.S. Dollar Fund – Global Equity Series F
Portfolio commentary
Q4 2024
Highlights
① The fund gained over the quarter, buoyed by a strong economic backdrop supported by the fund’s equity exposure.
② Stock selection in the energy and information technology sectors was a significant contributor to fund performance.
③ Currency hedging was a major contributor to returns.
Portfolio overview
The IG Mackenzie U.S. Dollar Fund – Global Equity generated a positive return, benefiting from strong security selection and positive performance of equity markets, especially in the U.S.
In Q4 2024, global markets experienced mixed performance influenced by geopolitical developments, central bank actions and inflation concerns. The U.S. stock market soared in Q4 2024 as the S&P 500 extended its rally, buoyed by Donald Trump’s presidential victory and optimism about pro-business policies. However, expectations of fewer U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) rate cuts, raised inflation concerns from anticipation of higher government spending, and threats of tariffs triggered volatility across several asset classes.
Within this economic and market backdrop, the IG Mackenzie U.S. Dollar Fund – Global Equity produced a positive return. It was a strong quarter for equity investors, helped by resilient economic data in the U.S. coming in stronger than initially expected, benefiting global equities overall. Selection in the energy and information technology sectors added significant value and helped the fund outperform its benchmark. Underweight exposures to the real estate and utilities sectors also benefited performance. Stock selection in the industrials and consumer discretionary sectors detracted from performance, along with underweight exposures to the communication services and consumer discretionary sectors, which performed extremely well.
Additionally, the fund’s 100% currency hedging policy to U.S. dollars contributed to returns primarily as foreign currencies lost ground in Q4 2024.
Market overview: the U.S. dollar and equities dominated the quarter
Investor sentiment turned optimistic in the fourth quarter of 2024, as equities rallied to close the year on a high note. Three defining themes shaped the quarter: a historic U.S. presidential election, ongoing central bank rate cuts and a rise in political risks both domestically and abroad. Collectively, these factors drove market movements, creating an optimistic and rewarding environment for investors following the decisive U.S. election.
Global central banks continued to ease their monetary policies, shifting the focus from combating inflation to supporting economic growth and labour market stability. The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate twice by 50 basis points (half a percentage point) each time, for a total reduction of one percentage point during the quarter, bringing the overnight rate to its lowest level in over two years. Similarly, the U.S. Federal Reserve followed its September cut with two consecutive reductions of one-quarter percentage point each.
Market outlook: positioning to benefit from expected rate cuts and diversify equity risk
The team believes that although global stock markets are expensive, valuations are not extreme. Continued U.S. government deficit spending and the Fed’s eagerness to cut rates on economic weakness supports the team’s view that the largest global economy is unlikely to enter a recession this year.
While markets expect the Fed to only cut rates once or twice in 2025, the team believes they will need to cut at least three times to support the job market. Potential U.S. trade tariffs could cause a one-time effect on prices, but future inflation could be lower given that trade wars can depress economic growth.
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